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The force-oriented defense: an expected-value approach.

By David Richard. Holdsworth


Approved for public release; distribution is unlimitedAs a first step in the testing of the feasibility of the FORCEORIENTED DEFENSE as a viable tactic for countering the large force imbalance in Western Europe, a small-unit, base-case scenario is quantitatively examined through the medium of a manual war game. A "Monte Carlo" type manual game v/as developed and used to refine model logic for a subsequent investigation with an expected-value manual game. This work generates the basis for a possible high resolution simulation of the FORCE- ORIENTED DEFENSE. To satisfy secondary objectives of the study, fractional kills were tabulated to determine first approximations of armor/antiarmor force exchange ratios and weapon system fractional loss rates. The specific scenario involved a reinforced mechanized infantry platoon ambushing the first echelon units of a tank- reinforced motorized rifle battalion., United States Arm

Topics: force-oriented defense, force exchange ratio, expected-value manual war game, weapon system fractional loss rates, small unit antiarmor ambush
Publisher: Monterey, California. Naval Postgraduate School
Year: 1973
OAI identifier:

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