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Presidential address: will this policy work for you?: predicting effectiveness better: how philosophy helps

By Nancy Cartwright

Abstract

There is a takeover movement fast gaining influence in development economics, a movement that demands that predictions about development outcomes be based on randomized controlled trials. The problem it takes up—of using evidence of efficacy from good studies to predict whether a policy will be effective if we implement it—is a general one, and affects us all. My discussion is the result of a long struggle to develop the right concepts to deal with the problem of warranting effectiveness predictions. Whether I have it right or not, these are questions of vast social importance that philosophers of science can, and should, help answer

Topics: B Philosophy (General)
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Year: 2012
DOI identifier: 10.1086/668041
OAI identifier: oai:eprints.lse.ac.uk:37070
Provided by: LSE Research Online
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