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Using Laboratory-Based Surveillance Data for Prevention: An Algorithm for Detecting Salmonella Outbreaks

By L.C. Hutwagner


clusters is the first step in recognizing outbreaks. We developed an algorithm for the Public Health Laboratory Information System (PHLIS) (2) that detects unusual clusters by using a statistical quality control method called cumulative sums (CUSUM), a method commonly used in manufacturing. CUSUM has also been applied to medical audits of influenza surveillance in England and Wales (3,4). The Algorithm The statistical problem of detecting unusual disease clusters in public health surveillance is similar to that of detecting clusters of defective items in manufacturing. In both cases, the aim is to detect an unusual number of occurrences. Manufacturing operations use several existing quality control methods, e.g., Shewhart Charts, moving average control, and CUSUM, to indicate abnormalities in data collected (5,6). Of these methods, CUSUM has two unique attributes that make it especially suitable for disease outbreak detection. CUSUM detects smaller shifts from the mean, and it detec

Year: 1997
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