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Strategic risk, civil war and intervention

By Gerard Padro i Miquel

Abstract

This paper presents a theory of con°ict in which violence occurs as a result of strategic risk. Actors face a di±cult balancing act between the fear of being attacked and the opportunity cost of breaking peace that selects the risk dominant equilibrium. We link the propensity of con°ict to current and future economic conditions and dis- cuss the e®ects of growth, inequality and military technology on the ability of groups to escape the Security Dilemma

Topics: HN Social history and conditions. Social problems. Social reform
Year: 2007
OAI identifier: oai:eprints.lse.ac.uk:21145
Provided by: LSE Research Online
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