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On the Estimation of the Distribution of Power Generated at a Wind Farm using Forecast Data

By David Ramsey

Abstract

New regulations on the supply of electrical energy in Ireland have introduced a system of suppliers bidding proposals for the cost of supply for each 30 minute period of the following day. In order to effectively bid and hedge against adverse events, it is necessary to assess the uncertainty of supply from wind energy farms. Hence, the aim of this study group was to estimate the distribution of power supply from a given set of wind farms a day in advance given forecast data

Topics: Energy and utilities
Year: 2008
OAI identifier: oai:generic.eprints.org:202/core70

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Citations

  1. (2007). ks: Kernel Density Estimation and Kernel Discriminant Analysis for Multivariate Data in R. doi
  2. (2004). On-line Assessment of Prediction Risk for Wind Power Production Forecasts. Wind Energy, doi
  3. (1989). Space-Time Modelling with Long-memory Dependence: Assessing Ireland’s Wind Power Resource. doi

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