Skip to main content
Article thumbnail
Location of Repository

A Regional, Multi-sectoral And Integrated Assessment Of The Impacts Of Climate And Socio-economic Change In The Uk: Part II. Results

By Ian P. Holman, R. J. Nicholls, P. M. Berry, P. A. Harrison, Eric Audsley, S. Shackley and M. D. A. Rounsevell


The ‘Regional Climate Change Impact and Response Studies in East Anglia and North West England’ (RegIS) integrated assessment (IA) investigated climate and socio-economic impacts and adaptation options, and cross-sectoral interactions between four major sectors driving landscape change (agriculture, biodiversity, coastal zones and water resources). The baseline and two contrasting climate change scenarios (with and without regional socio-economic change scenarios) were investigated. RegIS showed that climate change, without policy adaptation, could lead to severe flood impacts in East Anglia, and significant agricultural abandonment. Despite yield changes, cropping is generally insensitive to climate, but very sensitive to socio-economic change. There is increased seasonality to river flows, compounded by increased urbanisation and irrigation demand. The responses of biodiversity to climate change are regional, habitat and species-specific, but much of the future of biodiversity in these regions will depend on planned adaptation in the other sectors. Numerous examples of public engagement with the global change sphere represent the real outward value of RegIS, due to the significant uncertainties and limitations to knowledge in this first regional IA which prevented results of the detail, specificity and confidence that decision-makers required. However, with further investment and refinement, regional IA’s will increasingly provide such

Publisher: Springer Science Business Media
Year: 2005
DOI identifier: 10.1007/s10584-005-5956-6
OAI identifier:
Provided by: Cranfield CERES

Suggested articles


  1. (2001). A regional, multi-sectoral and integrated assessment of the impacts of climate and socio-economic change in the UK: I Methodology. Climatic Change Holman, doi
  2. (1988). Adjusting water resources management to climate change. doi
  3. (1999). Agriculture, Fisheries and Food: doi
  4. (2003). Assessment of environmental impacts of future flood risk. Foresight Flood and Coastal Defence Project preliminary paper,
  5. (1999). Climate Change and Nature Conservation in the UK and Ireland: Modelling natural resource responses to climate change (the MONARCH project). UKCIP Technical Report, Oxford (downloadable at Higgins K. and Richardson D.M.:
  6. (1999). Climate change impacts for fluvial flood defence. Institute of Hydrology report to MAFF.
  7. (1998). Climate Change Scenarios for the United Kingdom: Scientific Report. UK Climate Impacts Programme
  8. (2002). Climate change, agriculture and water quality in the Chesapeake Bay Region. doi
  9. (2000). Climate Change: Assessing the Impacts- Identifying Responses-
  10. (1998). Climate Impact and Adaptation Assessment: A Guide to the IPCC Approach. doi
  11. (2002). Herbivory in global change research: direct effects of rising temperatures on insect herbivores. doi
  12. (2001). Implications for policy needs and future research.
  13. (1997). Mapping the geographic and economic response of agricultural systems in England and Wales to climate change.
  14. (2002). Modelling potential impacts of climate change on the bioclimatic envelope of species doi
  15. (1995). Modelling present and potential future ranges of some European higher plants using climate response surfaces. doi
  16. (2004). Modelling species distributions in Britain: a hierarchical integration of climate and land-cover data. Ecography: doi
  17. (2000). Research Centre:
  18. (2001). Shoreline Management Plans: A Guide for Coastal Defence Authorities, Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, (downloadable at
  19. (2002). Shoreline management plans: a national review and an engineering perspective. doi
  20. (1994). Technical guidelines for assessing climate change impacts and adaptations with a summary for policy makers and a technical summary.
  21. (1998). The implications of predicted climate change for insect pests in the UK, with emphasis on non-indigenous species. doi
  22. (2000). Water Resources. In doi

To submit an update or takedown request for this paper, please submit an Update/Correction/Removal Request.