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EU network carriers, low cost carriers and consumer behaviour: A Delphi study of future trends

By Keith J. Mason and Fariba Alamdari


This paper uses a Delphi panel of 26 air transport experts to forecast the structure of air transport in the EU in 2015 in respect of network carriers, low cost airlines and passenger behaviour. Secondary research was used to construct a number of scenarios about the future structure and strategy of EU network and low cost airlines and also traveller behaviour. Consensus of opinions was sought amongst the panel in a two-round process. The consensus opinion of the Delphi experts was that; network carrier consolidation will reduce EU players to less than five, there will be only two or three large low cost carriers, Business Class products will disappear on short hauls. and leisure travellers will take an increasing number of multiple short-duration holidays

Topics: network airlines low cost carriers traveller behaviour Delphi technique
Publisher: Elsevier Science B.V., Amsterdam.
Year: 2007
DOI identifier: 10.1016/j.jairtraman.2007.04.011
OAI identifier:
Provided by: Cranfield CERES

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