The purpose of this paper is to re-examine the empirical relationship among alternative monetary aggregates (M1 and M2), output, prices, interest rates and exchange rates in India. The results of a five-variate vector error correction model are indicative of a bi-directional causality between each of the monetary aggregates and prices. Our findings of a feedback relationship make each of the monetary aggregates a poor intermediate target and informational variable. Moreover, contrary to most recent research in this area, the results are supportive of the real business-cycle view and the Keynesian monetary accommodation hypothesis rather than the monetarists’ theory of the business cycle
To submit an update or takedown request for this paper, please submit an Update/Correction/Removal Request.